Yes, the dust and confetti has just settled on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ Super Bowl 55 victory, yet another incredible feat for Tom Brady. But of course, we have to start looking ahead to the. Among the 14 playoff teams, there are four big favorites to win Super Bowl LV in Tampa, Fla., on Feb. 7, along with four heavy longshots and everyone else in between. Let’s see what BetMGM oddsmakers think about your team’s chances are of claiming the Lombardi Trophy. (Note: The current odds, from worst to best, are from Wednesday, Jan. The defending champion Chiefs are currently listed as +600 co-favorites to win a second consecutive Super Bowl. Following a 14-2 season in 2019, Lamar Jackson’s Baltimore Ravens are also listed at.
Odds To Win Super Bowl 56 (2/6/22) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Updated Sun, Mar. 7, 4:15 PM ET - Odds Provided by BetMGM - Subject to Change
Odds To Win AFC Championship (2/6/22) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Odds Provided by BetMGM - Subject to Change
Odds To Win NFC Championship (2/6/22) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Odds Provided by BetMGM - Subject to Change
Odds To Win AFC North (1/2/22) | |||||||||||||||
|
Odds Provided by DraftKings - Subject to Change
Odds To Win AFC South (1/2/22) | |||||||||||||||
|
Odds Provided by DraftKings - Subject to Change
Odds To Win AFC East (1/2/22) | |||||||||||||||
|
Odds Provided by DraftKings - Subject to Change
Odds To Win AFC West (1/2/22) | |||||||||||||||
|
Odds Provided by DraftKings - Subject to Change
Odds To Win NFC North (1/2/22) | |||||||||||||||
|
Odds Provided by DraftKings - Subject to Change
Odds To Win NFC South (1/2/22) | |||||||||||||||
|
Odds Provided by DraftKings - Subject to Change
Odds To Win NFC East (1/2/22) | |||||||||||||||
|
Odds Provided by DraftKings - Subject to Change
Odds To Win NFC West (1/2/22) | |||||||||||||||
|
Odds Provided by DraftKings - Subject to Change
The 2020 season is over after the Tampa Bay Buccaneers rolled past the defending champion Kansas City Chiefs to capture its second Super Bowl championship in franchise history.
Now, the page turns to the 2021 campaign and Super Bowl 56 to be played at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California, the home of the Rams and Chargers.
According to the betting operator, BetMGM, the Chiefs are once again the favorite to win the Super Bowl at +600 odds (Bet $100 to win $600).
The Buccaneers are the third-betting choice at 10/1 odds, right behind the team they knocked out in the NFC Championship, the Green Bay Packers at 9/1.
A team that will receive a lot of attention in the offseason is the Los Angeles Rams after acquiring veteran quarterback Matthew Stafford from Detroit. The Rams are currently at 12/1 odds along with the Baltimore Ravens and Buffalo Bills
Who’s going to win the Super Bowl? One of the most popular questions often asked by anybody and everybody that bets on NFL Futures, especially online bettors from the United States. Answering that question isn’t easy but placing wagers on NFL Future odds can be done on “Any Given Sunday” and every other day too. Put simply, the Futures market for the NFL is always open. The opening market is set by oddsmakers after the following season has ended in February, sometimes even while the current season hasn’t been completed yet in late January. For the most part, the initial betting lines are mirrored based on what the current perception of the team is after the latest season and that’s where the value can be had.
The NFL has 32 teams, split into two conferences of 16 and then divided into four divisions of four. NFL Futures are available to win not only the Super Bowl, but also the winner of each conference and the eight divisions as well. Some online betting shops get even more creative with their markets and allow bettors an opportunity of which two teams will meet in the Super Bowl. Those odds are usually higher and bettors can strike a generous return but predicting one outcome isn’t easy, so imagine doing so twice.
The pro football finale usually takes place on the first Sunday in February and the outcome of that game is tied into plenty of Futures Odds tickets, in particular bets placed on Super Bowl Odds. The most popular futures betting market is focused on the Super Bowl and the final outcome boosts the handle for the Super Bowl, since future tickets are made official after the last game.
After the opening odds are posted in late January or early February, the Super Bowl Odds market tends to be stable until the spring or second quarter of the year. During the time, the NFL produces the NFL Draft where top College Football players are selected by teams. While it’s rare to see youngsters make an immediate impact on teams, the optimism from fans can lead to future bets. Along with the draft, the NFL Free Agency period begins and that allows players to join other teams with new contracts. These transactions are very volatile on the Super Bowl Odds market and bettors often place wagers on clubs, especially if they acquire a top position player like a quarterback.
After the spring and summer, the largest volume of Super Bowl Odds tickets take place in August just prior to the regular season. At this time, most bettors have done their homework on rosters, coaches, schedules, etc. That betting research is essential in your NFL Future wagers analysis.
There are several legal sportsbook options in the United States. Visit our sportsbook directory to find online sportsbooks where you can bet on who will win Super Bowl 56.
In addition to betting on who will win the NFC, AFC, and the Super Bowl, there are multiple angles you can bet on individual games. Check out our NFL odds page for the odds on each game. You can also find odds for Win Totals, MVP, Rookie of the Year, and Playoff Props on our site.
To learn more about betting on football, check out our football betting tutorial.
Super Bowl LV promised an epic battle between two of the most dynamic and accomplished quarterbacks in the league, but ultimately, it was the cagey 21-year veteran that emerged from the clash with his record seventh championship ring. Tom Brady threw for three touchdowns and didn’t turn the ball over in a 31-9 victory that also featured an efficient effort from Leonard Fournette and a suffocating performance by the Buccaneers defense that neutered a normally high-octane Chiefs attack.
The unexpectedly lopsided win for Tampa Bay on its home field capped off a unique 2020 NFL season that managed to navigate a highly challenging public health crisis. The league will now mostly step back from the spotlight over the next several months – save for brief interludes such as free agency and the NFL Draft – until training camps hopefully kick off in late July.
As was the case throughout the past season, this page will once again serve as a hub of NFL betting-related information each week throughout the 2021 NFL season and postseason. That will include the latest odds from leading regulated sportsbooks for every game, as well as a detailed betting breakdown for each contest.
The Big Game’s final gun doesn’t equate to an absence of betting opportunities, however. The sun never sets in the NFL betting landscape. Accordingly, there are 2022 Super Bowl Champion futures available at all regulated sportsbooks. Despite Sunday’s defeat, the Chiefs, just like after their Super Bowl LIV win over the 49ers, open as the odds-on favorite (+490) at FanDuel Sportsbook. The newly crowned champions interestingly open in a three-way tie with the Bills and Packers at +1100, although all signs point to a Brady return in 2021.
Here is a look at Super Bowl LVI odds from the top US sportsbooks.
Odds listed below are from DraftKings Sportsbook.
Kansas City Chiefs (+550): This will be a learning experience for Patrick Mahomes, who clearly played hurt and was consistently pressured in another loss to Tom Brady on the grand stage. The Chiefs are the most dangerous team in football and an off night in Tampa won’t change that heading into the 2021-22 season.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+900): Tom Brady put the closing arguments on his air-tight case as the greatest winner in NFL history by taking a listless Bucs franchise to the promised land in his age 43 season. Tampa’s defense is truly elite and Brady can run it back with all the weapons around him.
Green Bay Packers (+900): Aaron Rodgers will likely return and the reigning MVP should have demands from the Packers front office to ensure he has enough weapons for one more run at a second Super Bowl title.
Buffalo Bills (+1200): Josh Allen is on a trajectory to become the chief rival for Patrick Mahomes over the next decade and he has a superstar running mate in Stefon Diggs.
Los Angeles Rams (+1200): The Rams pulled off the first ever trade of No. 1 overall draft picks and brought back Matt Stafford to quarterback and otherwise loaded team. Stafford is simply far more gifted than Jared Goff and he should help Sean McVay’s offense yet another level while Aaron Donald and Jalen Ramsey anchor the Rams elite defense.
Baltimore Ravens (+1200): The passing game hasn’t clicked with Lamar Jackson at the controls and that has led to some relatively quiet playoff departures for the Ravens the past two years. Things could go much differently for Baltimore this year if their season isn’t upended by COVID.
San Francisco 49ers (+1400): Midway through last season the Niners had nearly $80M in cap space on I.R. with Nick Bosa, Dee Ford, Jimmy Garoppolo, George Kittle, Raheem Mostert, Richard Sherman, and Solomon Thomas all missing huge chunks of time. Kyle Shanahan’s squad could certainly contend if they keep those guys healthy next year.
New Orleans Saints (+1700): It seems the Saints window with Drew Brees has closed. Jameis Winston or Taysom Hill should eventually take up the mantle to lead a great all-around team, but neither necessarily profiles as a Super Bowl caliber QB.
Cleveland Browns (+2200): Kevin Stefanski is your Coach of the Year after leading the Browns to their first playoff win since 1994. Adding Odell Beckham Jr. (ACL) will only help Cleveland balance its elite run game.
Seattle Seahawks (+2200): In a truly head-scratching evolution, Russell Wilson went from the obvious MVP to the most maligned QB in the NFL by the end of the year. And Wilson’s struggles were just the tip of the iceberg for Seattle’s sputtering offense.
Indianapolis Colts (+2200): The Colts were on the list of teams with a pressing need at quarterback before adding Carson Wentz in a February trade. Will he revert to the Wentz of old as he’s reunited with Frank Reich? We’ll see.
Tennessee Titans (+2800): The Titans need a ton of help on the defensive side of the ball and are in danger of losing more key contributors this offseason. Derrick Henry can only dominate when complemented by a tough defense.
Dallas Cowboys (+3000): Clearly the Cowboys are playing in a weak division and they are absolutely loaded with Dak Prescott under center. Their early-season struggles with Dak under center were more fluke than trend.
Pittsburgh Steelers (+3000): Ben Roethlisberger is running it back with a chance for redemption if the Steelers can find a way to establish some consistency with their ground game. Pittsburgh’s top-rated defense and Mike Tomlin’s experience will always give this team a chance late into the winter.
Miami Dolphins (+2500): With the second-youngest roster in the NFL, the Dolphins are likely a couple of years away from contending. It remains to be seen if Tua Tagovailoa might be the QB that eventually takes them to the next level.
Los Angeles Chargers (+2800): Switch Justin Herbert with Tua right now and the Dolphins are almost certainly in the conversation with The Contenders. Herbert is a lock for stardom and the Chargers defense gets much healthier this year, making this a dream spot for new coach Brandon Staley.
New England Patriots (+3000): Even Bill Belichick can’t make lemonade out of the lemons he was served last season when the Patriots had a league-high 8 players opt out due to COVID last year. He won’t coach his team to success without a legit starting QB either.
Minnesota Vikings (+4000): When Dalvin Cook was healthy last year and Justin Jefferson had come on, the Vikings offense became a nightmarish matchup. And their young secondary will continue to improve next year under Mike Zimmer.
Arizona Cardinals (+5000): Kyler Murray must become a better pocket passer to keep defenses from playing him to run. With a defense that ranked top 10 in many metrics, the Cardinals should push their way into the playoffs next year.
Chicago Bears (+5000): The Bears should be at the front of the line offering a bevvy of draft picks for Deshaun Watson should he become available. They might not make enough of a bid, out of hubris, but they aren’t going anywhere with Mitchell Trubisky or Nick Foles.
Philadelphia Eagles (+5000): Jalen Hurts is simply a winner and the Eagles will find it easy to turn the page under new coach Nick Sirianni.
Carolina Panthers (+4500): Any team that is competitive without Christian McCaffrey is capable of finishing above .500 with an MVP candidate in the backfield.
Atlanta Falcons (+5000): Shame on this franchise for dropping Raheem Morris after he turned their bottom 5 defense into the No. 12 unit in Weighted DVOA (per Football Outsiders) by the end of the season.
Las Vegas Raiders (+5000): There were flashes from the Raiders last season, including a win and close loss to the Chiefs, but they showed little discipline under Jon Gruden. They could serve as another exciting destination for Deshaun Watson.
Denver Broncos (+6000): John Elway is still looking for his franchise QB, but the Broncos should have one of the past rushes in the game with Von Miller (Achilles) set to return opposite Bradley Chubb.
Washington Football Team (+6000): Regardless of who is playing QB, Washington’s front office will have to work some magic to maintain a solid supporting cast with 19 players set to hit free agency this March.
New York Giants (+6600): Joe Judge looks like he will be part of the bountiful branch of Belichick’s coaching tree. The Giants can keep overachieving defensively and Saquon Barkley can carry an offense.
Cincinnati Bengals (+6600): Joe Burrow (ACL) gives this listless franchise some hope, but they need a lot of pieces to contend, especially some upgrades on the offensive line.
New York Jets (+6600): Robert Saleh doesn’t enter an enviable situation given the state of the Jets roster prior to free agency. Yet that could change if the franchise invests their $45M in cap space wisely.
Jacksonville Jaguars (+8000): Ever wonder how an elite college team would fare against the pros? Next year’s Jaguars will be a close comparison with Urban Meyer coaching Trevor Lawrence and a young roster.
Houston Texans (+10000): The Texans are becoming lepers in the football community given how laughably bad their trade of DeAndre Hopkins for David Johnson has turned out and how they’ve treated their franchise QB in the wake of that gaff.
Detroit Lions (+10000): Moving from L.A. to Detroit and from Sean McVay to Dan Campbell is going to seriously test Jared Goff.
Super Bowl odds shown below are from DraftKings Sportsbook.
Team | Opening odds | Current odds |
---|---|---|
Kansas City Chiefs | +600 | +525 |
Green Bay Packers | +800 | +1000 |
Buffalo Bills | +1100 | +1200 |
Baltimore Ravens | +1200 | +1200 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +1300 | +900 |
New Orleans Saints | +1500 | +2000 |
San Francisco 49ers | +1500 | +1400 |
LA Rams | +2000 | +1300 |
Seattle Seahawks | +2000 | +2200 |
Cleveland Browns | +2000 | +2000 |
LA Chargers | +2500 | +3000 |
Miami Dolphins | +2500 | +2500 |
Dallas Cowboys | +2800 | +3000 |
Indianapolis Colts | +2800 | +2500 |
New England Patriots | +2800 | +4000 |
Tennessee Titans | +2800 | +2800 |
Pittsburgh Steelers | +3000 | +3000 |
Minnesota Vikings | +3300 | +5000 |
Arizona Cardinals | +5000 | +5000 |
Atlanta Falcons | +5000 | +6000 |
Chicago Bears | +5000 | +6000 |
Philadelphia Eagles | +5000 | +6600 |
Carolina Panthers | +6000 | +5000 |
Denver Broncos | +6000 | +6600 |
Las Vegas Raiders | +6000 | +6000 |
Washington Football Team | +6000 | +6600 |
Cincinnati Bengals | +6600 | +10000 |
Houston Texans | +6600 | +15000 |
New York Giants | +6600 | +6600 |
Detroit Lions | +7500 | +12500 |
New York Jets | +9000 | +8000 |
Jacksonville Jaguars | +10000 | +7500 |
Futures bets are a great way for diehard sports fans to get themselves a little more involved in the upcoming success of their favorite teams and/or players. They can also be a good way for the maligned hometown fan to shift focus a little bit and worry more about the success (or failure) of rival teams.
Fans can put their prediction skills to the test by placing wagers on things such as the Super Bowl LVI champion, division and conference winners, win totals for each team, and individual player awards such as MVP and Offensive and Defensive Rookies of the Year.
Additionally, many books offer over/under lines on certain yardage or touchdown numbers for specific players or head-to-head options between two stars of a shared position. These are often referred to as “specials.”
Odds on certain futures will often be updated throughout the offseason as players change teams or suffer injuries. Once the season starts, odds can change wildly based on injuries, and fast or slow starts with bettors having to know the difference between pretenders and contenders.
There’s nothing like placing a wager on a longshot early in the offseason and watching the year play out in their, and your, favor. It can be ill-advised to bet on a favorite in the offseason with so much time for things to go against them.
All online sportsbooks come in slightly different layouts, but futures sections are typically in the same general area.
Simply click the “NFL” or “Pro Football” tab on your book of choice. The default screen is generally the Week 1 schedule with all 16 games listed, but in a dropdown menu or separate menu bar, there should be several other options, including futures and specials.
Peruse these sections at your whim, looking for the teams, players, or odds which matter most to you. A wager such as Super Bowl Champions or MVP will have money options listed, whether it be all 32 teams or 30-50 of the league’s biggest stars. Each option will have odds listed next to it.
Betting Super Bowl odds on the Kansas City Chiefs to repeat as champions at +550 means a $100 wager returns $550. A safer bet such as the Chiefs to win the AFC West comes with diminished -500 odds.
Win totals and player specials typically come in the form of over/unders on a number set by the sportsbook. Each side of the bet will have odds for any result coming in above or below the line.
The point spread will be one of the most popular methods of placing a wager on Super Bowl LVI. The point spread is the projected margin of victory set by oddsmakers for the favored team. If a bettor wagers on the favorite to “cover” the point spread, the favorite must not only emerge victorious, but must do so by more than the point spread for the bet to be a winner. If the favorite wins the game but does so by less than the spread – or if it loses the game altogether – the bettor will have lost his/her money wagered.
A moneyline wager is a bet on which team will win the game outright, regardless of margin. A moneyline wager is essentially the same type of bet that has been placed among family and friends for decades. When placed with a sportsbook, a moneyline wager pays winning bets based on the odds attached to the wager.
For example, a moneyline wager on the favorite may carry odds of “-110”, meaning a bettor wins $100 for every $110 wagered. Conversely, a moneyline wager on the underdog may carry odds of “+112”, meaning a bettor wins $112 for every $100 bet.
A totals wager is one that hinges on whether the bettor correctly bet the game’s combined final score would finish over or under the number projected by the sportsbook at the time of the wager. For example, say Super Bowl odds carry a projected total of 49 points. If one wagers the “under” on that figure and the game finishes with a 30-21 final score, the bet is a losing one, since the combined total of that score is 51 points. However, if the game instead finishes 24-21 – a combined score of 45 – then that bet would be a winner.
Player Prop bets are wagers that are based on whether the individual player that’s the subject of the bet falls short of or exceeds certain statistical benchmarks. Sportsbooks typically offer an extensive array of such bets for an event of the magnitude of the Super Bowl. Player prop bets are based on the statistics usually accrued by players at different positions.
For example, a prop bet for a quarterback would be whether the player throws for less or more than 250 yards in the game. For a running back, an example would be whether the player receivers less or more than 20 carries. For a receiver, an available prop wager could be based on whether the player falls below or exceeds a certain number of receptions during the game.
Even non-skill position players such as kickers or even an entire defensive unit can be the subject of prop bets. A standard prop bet for a kicker could be based on whether the player will successfully hit more or less than a certain number of field goals, or whether they will miss an extra point. For a defense, prop bets could be based on whether that unit will give up a certain amount of points, or whether it will score a touchdown on an interception or fumble return.
Player prop bets are most often graded on full-game statistics, but there are also prop bets that are based on statistics accrued during a specific quarter or specific half of a game.
Prop bets for major events such as a Super Bowl can also center on outcomes that aren’t based on traditional in-game statistics. For example, a prop bet can be placed on whether the game-opening coin toss comes up as heads or tails or which team will win the toss; the color of the Gatorade that is dumped on the winning team’s coach; and what the jersey number of one of the players who scores during the game might be.
There are even prop wagers based on the two flagship non-sports events associated with the game – the National Anthem and the halftime show. Bettors can place wagers on contingencies such as the length of time of the National Anthem, whether the performer will omit a word, whether a certain celebrity will make an unexpected appearance during the halftime festivities or how many songs will be performed by the halftime act.
The most prestigious individual Super Bowl-related award is that of Most Valuable Player. While any player is technically eligible for the distinction, the best odds by and far lie with the quarterback position, which has taken home 29 of the 54 MVP awards in Super Bowl history. That outpaces the next closest positions – wide receiver and running back – by 22. Five quarterbacks have won the MVP award on multiple occasions. The Patriots’ Tom Brady leads the way with four. The 49ers’ Joe Montana follows with three. Meanwhile, the Packers’ Bart Starr, the Steelers’ Terry Bradshaw and the Giants’ Eli Manning each garnered two apiece.
Even when a future Hall of Famer like Brady is on the winning side, it’s important to remember there is no such thing as a surefire bet. In the Patriots’ win over the Rams in February of 2019, receiver Julian Edelman earned MVP honors with a 10-reception, 141-yard tally.
Alternate lines are those offered by sportsbooks as secondary options to the official point spread that has been set. These lines feature an extensive array of different point spreads for both the favorite and underdog side of the game. These lines typically begin at points well above the number associated with each team in the official game line and range well into the other side of the bet, i.e. allowing for a heavy favorite to be bet as a heavy underdog and vice versa.
To cite an example from this season’s Chiefs – Bucs Super Bowl matchup, Kansas City entered the game as 3-point favorites at many sportsbooks. Alternate lines offered could have included a wagering opportunity on the Chiefs as seven-point favorites instead. Moreover, that bet would have included a very favorable “price” – the preset ratio at which the bet would pay out – due to the much lower probability of the Chiefs not only winning, but winning by more than a touchdown.
Live betting offers bettors the opportunity to place wagers on the point spread, moneyline or projected total of a game as odds on each fluctuate depending on the flow of a game. With a live betting option, a bettor doesn’t have to be locked into just the wagers they placed prior to the start of the game or at halftime. Rather, if, for example, the favored team unexpectedly falls behind by a two-touchdown margin in the first half, the bettor can hedge his original wager by investing in a new line with odds that reflect how the game is unfolding.
A teaser bet is based on multiple games and enables the bettor to adjust the official point spread anywhere between four and 10 points, depending on sport. For football, the allowable range if six, 6.5 or seven points. For a teaser bet to pay out, each leg of the wager must be a winner.
An example of a teaser bet would be as follows:
If both Kansas City and San Francisco win their games by at least two points, respectively, the teaser bet is a winner. The appeal of teaser bets is the ability to manipulate the spread, and in the process, significantly increase the odds of the wager being successful.
Super Bowl LVI will officially kick off Sunday, Feb. 6 at 6:30 p.m. ET in Inglewood, California.
The game will be televised through broadcast television on NBC.
Legal sports betting is progressively expanding across the United States.
Bettors should particularly be aware of these sportsbooks, which all have Super Bowl odds posted:
DraftKings Sportsbook — Available in NJ, PA, IN, NH, MI, VA, IA, CO, WV, TN and IL
FanDuel Sportsbook — Available in NJ, PA, IN, MI, VA, CO, WV, TN and IL
BetMGM — Available in NJ, IN, CO, TN, MI, VA, PA, IA and WV
All three sportsbooks will have a wide selection of special offers and promotions for Super Bowl LV aimed at both first-time and existing customers.
With any purchase, shopping for the best price is advisable. Sports betting is no different. The “prices” associated with sports betting are the odds attached to each wager that determine the payout if the bet is a winner. Other sportsbook-to-sportsbook variables that are important for a better to also be conscious of include possible differences in the point spread and projected total posted for a particular game.
The original lines set by oddsmakers when a game is first posted can often be the “sharpest”, i.e. most difficult to consistently beat over time. Therefore, the biggest edge can often come from waiting things out and seeing what way the betting public’s wagers move a point spread as a game draws closer. Factors such as faulty “groupthink” can sometimes alter a team’s projected advantage to the extent it creates a tangible edge for a sharp bettor.
One caveat about the Super Bowl is that no one NFL game sees its line affected more by “sharp money.” Therefore, line movement for this particular game is often the byproduct of bets placed based on an effective process more than any other during the season.
The strategy of betting against the most popular side of a bet can pay off on occasion. However, it’s not a strategy that’s necessarily advisable to be utilized with great frequency. But, as discussed in the prior section, there are certain instances when the general public’s infatuation with a certain team’s reputation (or in some cases, even certain superstar players such as Brady) can lead to a notable amount of money being wagered on that team. In turn, the line could move to a point where a team is favored by an increasingly unrealistic amount of points.
By “fading the public” in such an instance, a bettor could exploit the situation and place a winning bet on the underdog to slide in under the spread. The same could hold true for a projected total that gets bet up to a certain level due to the offensive reputations of one or both of the teams.
While many bettors likely put only a modest amount of what could accurately be termed “research” before placing a wager, there’s certainly no shortage of metrics available to be evaluated for those who wish to avail themselves. For team-based wagers such as moneylines, point spreads and projected totals, bettors can review the history of each team’s performance in each category.
However, where advanced metrics can be particularly helpful is when making individual- or team-based prop wagers. Statistical trends can certainly help a bettor make an informed decision on whether a certain receiver is likely to exceed a certain amount of catches versus a certain opponent’s defense, for example. The same could apply to countless other such prop wagers, such as a quarterback reaching the 300-yard threshold and a running back eclipsing the 100-yard mark, to cite just two other examples.
A good example from last season’s Super Bowl LIV matchup between the Chiefs and 49ers involves San Francisco star tight end George Kittle. Say a sportsbook offered a prop wager on Kittle making over/under five catches. A bettor evaluating this wager might have gone with the Over when considering Kansas City faced the second-most tight end targets (141) in the league last season and tied for the third-most catches (96) allowed to the position. Kittle finished the game with four catches, just slightly under the number – a win for Under bettors.
“Middling” a game is defined as a bettor placing wagers on both sides of the contest. Football is considered the most popular sport to utilize this strategy. Because it involves placing more than one wager on a game, middling can be a strategy that’s rarely used by novice bettors. However, it ironically helps mitigate the risk involved by significantly upping the chances of one of the two bets being a winner.
Middling is typically made possible when there is notable line movement on a game within a week. Using an example from the Super Bowl LV Chiefs-Bucs matchup, hypothetically, say Kansas City opened up as a three-point favorite. A bettor initially places a wager on this line, but over the course of the two weeks, the line is bet up even further to a seven-point projected advantage for KC. That same bettor then places a bet on the Bucs +7, i.e. San Francisco to lose by six points or less or win outright.
In this example, the bettor is a winner on both bets if either:
Legal, regulated sportsbooks typically offer a variety of enticing promotions, for both first-time and existing customers. Those offers are even more prominent for an event the magnitude of the Super Bowl. Bettors should therefore be on the lookout for such offers as soon as the participants for Super Bowl LIV are decided in this coming weekend’s conference championship games.
Examples of special offers and promotions include:
Those physically located within a total of 18 states will have the option of placing wagers on Super Bowl LV at a legal, regulated sportsbook. Of those jurisdictions, eight of them offer bettors the option of placing a bet through either a sportsbook’s website/mobile wagering app or its physical retail location. Another five currently only allow wagering at physical sportsbooks.
By Super Bowl LVI in February 2022, several more states should have legal sports betting options available. That number is expected to increase based on a certain amount of sports betting bills across the country gaining passage during 2021.
The following states already offer both online and retail sports betting options:
Indiana
Iowa
New Hampshire
New Jersey
Nevada
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
West Virginia
Illinois
Michigan
Colorado
Tennessee
The following states currently only offer retail sports betting options:
Arkansas
Delaware
Mississippi
New Mexico
New York
The Super Bowl is annually the most lucrative single-event sports betting opportunity. The American Gaming Association (AGA) estimated bets on last year’s Chiefs-49ers game would reach approximately $6.8 billion worldwide in both legal and illegal wagers.
At many sportsbooks, proposition bets constitute more than half of the wagers and amount placed for the Super Bowl. With the ongoing expansion of legalized, regulated sports wagering across the United States, the total “handle” – the cumulative amount wagered on the game – should continue to edge upward for several years based solely on the increase in legal betting opportunities for sports fans. For this year’s Super Bowl LV, those physically located within 13 states will have access to either online and/or retail sports betting (a physical sportsbook) for the big game.
The Kansas City Chiefs opened as the favorites for the 2021-22 season at most major sportsbooks. KC was +500 at FanDuel Sportsbook on the Monday after Super Bowl LV.